5 Predictions for the AAM Industry in 2025

‘He who lives by the crystal ball shall eat shattered glass’, or so the saying goes. Nonetheless, the reality of advanced electrified commercial aircraft taking to the skies is still a matter of ‘when’ rather than ‘if’, so naturally the usual questions are being asked at the beginning of a new year. Will all OEMs survive 2025? Will China step up high-volume production? Will western regulators sign off on one or two eVTOLs? And most importantly, when and where can I buy a ticket?

Image: Archer’s Midnight (front) Maker (rear). Credit: Business Wire

Amongst the noise come five clear predictions from Sergio Cecutta at SMG Consulting, careful curators of the Advanced Air Mobility Reality Index¹.

5 PREDICTIONS FOR THE AAM INDUSTRY²

|1| Volocopter VoloCity and ZeroG ZG-One will certify

|2| Aerofugia, Archer, AutoFlight, Beta CX300 and Joby will receive the TIA/TIA equivalent from their respective regulator

|3| Two OEMs from our AAM Reality Index will liquidate

|4| Full scale demonstrators from eAviation, REGENT, SkyDrive, Supernal, Wanfeng Diamond, Wisk will fly

|5| The first UAM purpose-built vertiport will be completed in Dubai...but will start service in 2026

From the insurance perspective, 2025 promises to be a year of increased test flight exposures globally mixed with early commercial operators in certain regions. Meanwhile, the drone industry continues to grow, looking forward to the release of new regulations that will open the door for standardised Beyond Visual Line of Sight missions.

Skyrisks | Specialists in AAM & UAS insurance

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1. SMG Consulting: Advanced Air Mobility Reality Index

2. SMG Consulting: 5 Predictions for the AAM Industry